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APRIL HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4 POINTS AS IMMIGRATION AND INFLATION REMAIN TOP CONCERNS

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

Apr 29, 2024, 12:28 ET

58% OF VOTERS BELIEVE THE U.S. LACKS LEADERSHIP TO HANDLE WORLD AFFAIRS BUT MOST WANT FOCUS ON DOMESTIC ISSUES

 

ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS UNCHANGED WHILE UNIVERSITIES UNDER CLOUD

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., April 29, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the April Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating is steady at 44%, while Donald Trump leads the horse race by 4 points. The poll also covers public opinion on foreign policy and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

“American voters are fundamentally utilitarian,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Despite legal and age issues, voters care most about how well Biden and Trump performed as president and on that measure, right now they favor Trump.”

ELECTION FUNDAMENTALS SEE LITTLE CHANGE BUT TRUMP LEAD WIDENS

  • Immigration and inflation continue to be voters’ top concerns, tied at 35% each this month.
  • 55% of voters believe Trump has committed crimes for which he should be convicted, but 55% say separately that they approve of the job he did as president.
  • 44% job approval for Biden shows 11-point deficit in job approval compared to Trump at 55%.

AMERICANS PREFER FOCUS ON DOMESTIC RATHER THAN FOREIGN AFFAIRS

  • 59% of voters say this is a time in world affairs that enables the U.S. to focus primarily on domestic issues, rather than spend more on military and foreign affairs (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 57%; Independents: 63%).
  • 58% say the U.S. does not have the leadership necessary to handle world affairs now.
  • 56% support sending $26 billion in aid to Israel; 49% support sending $8 billion in aid to the Indo-Pacific, including Taiwan; and 48% support sending $61 billion in aid to Ukraine.

GENERATIONAL SCHISM ON ISRAEL REMAINS SALIENT DESPITE GENERAL SUPPORT UNCHANGED

  • 80% of voters say they support Israel over Hamas (ages 18-24 57% to 43%)
  • 71% say the crisis in Gaza has been created by Hamas, not Israel.
  • 78% say Hamas should be removed from running Gaza.
  • 72% of voters believe Israel should move forward with an operation in Rafah in order to finish the war against Hamas, while doing its best to avoid civilian casualties (ages 18-24: 57%; ages 65+: 84%).
  • 68% oppose a ceasefire unless it means Hamas would be allowed to continue holding hostages and running Gaza (ages 18-24: 66% still support). 70% support a “permanent ceasefire” but that support is contingent on hostage release and end of Hamas rule.
  • In the context of the recent Iran attacks against Israel, 80% believe Iran must be stopped from having nuclear weapons (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 96%).

M0ST AMERICANS DISAPPROVE OF UNIVERSITIES AMID CAMPUS PROTESTS

  • 80% of voters believe students and professors who call for violence towards Jews should be suspended (ages 18-24: 59%; ages 65+: 92%).
  • 64% believe the leaders of private higher education institutions are not doing enough to prevent antisemitism (ages 18-24: 37%; ages 65+: 80%).
  • 64% believe there is a problem with what institutions of higher learning are teaching students today (ages 18-24: 47%; ages 65+: 74%).

The April Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on April 24-25, 2024, among 1,961 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies 
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Media Contact:
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

MARCH HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP'S LEAD NARROWS TO 2 POINTS AFTER BIDEN GIVES STATE OF THE UNION

News Provided By

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

Mar 25, 2024, 08:37 ET

IMMIGRATION REMAINS VOTERS’ TOP CONCERN FOR THIRD CONSECUTIVE MONTH

 

TIKTOK BAN IS A BATTLE OF GENERATIONS, NOT PARTY

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., March 25, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating remained at 45%, while 55% of voters say they approve of Donald Trump’s job as president. Immigration and inflation remained voters’ top two concerns for the third month in a row. The poll also covers public opinion on the potential TikTok ban and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

“When people ask themselves the Reagan question, are you better off than you were four years ago, the answer increasingly is no,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “The sizable number of independent voters who are still undecided will determine this election, and they continue to be personally concerned about the border crisis and their grocery store prices.”

VOTERS SPLIT ON BIDEN’S STATE OF THE UNION BUT RACE NARROWS SLIGHTLY

  • 52% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Biden’s State of the Union address.
  • 54% of voters, including 70% of non-watchers, think Biden did not address the issues that they and their families are concerned about in the speech.
  • 53% believe Biden delivered the speech effectively.
  • Trump is leading Biden by 2 points in the general head-to-head, down from 6 points last month. 20% of Independents say they are unsure.

VOTERS ARE FINE WITH “ILLEGAL” AND “UNDOCUMENTED” TERMS AS IMMIGRATION REMAINS TOP CONCERN

  • 73% of voters believe it is appropriate to refer to those who enter the U.S. without permission as “illegal immigrants”; 68% believe it is appropriate to refer to them as “undocumented immigrants.”
  • 63% of voters have heard of the story of murdered Georgia nursing student Laken Riley and 70% believe the case shows that the U.S. needs stricter immigration policies.

TIKTOK BAN IS DIVIDED BY GENERATION, NOT PARTY

  • 64% of voters believe the risks posed by TikTok to Americans’ personal security and the country’s national security outweigh the benefits of using TikTok for American brands and content creators (ages 18-24: 49%; ages 65+: 85%).
  • 65% of voters support the bill that would ban TikTok in the U.S. if ByteDance does not sell it to a U.S. government-approved buyer (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 84%).
  • Voters are most concerned about potential election interference from Russia (74%), China (73%), Iran (60%), Hamas (56%) and tech companies (51%).

ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG WITH SCHUMER CRITICIZED FOR CALL TO REMOVE NETANYAHU

  • Israel continues to receive high support, 79%, against Hamas.
  • 52% of voters say it was inappropriate for Senator Chuck Schumer to call for new elections in Israel to remove Benjamin Netanyahu; but 54% believe this criticism of Israel was fair.
  • Netanyahu has a higher net favorable rating in the U.S. (+2 points) than Schumer (-10 points).

The March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on March 20-21, 2024, among 2,111 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Media Contact
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

February 2024

February 2024

February 2024

February 2024

FEBRUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: IMMIGRATION REMAINS TOP ISSUE AS VOTERS SAY BIDEN'S BIGGEST FAILURE IS HIS OPEN BORDERS POLICY

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

Feb 26, 2024, 07:48 ET

71% OF VOTERS THINK INFLATION HAS PROVEN IT’S HERE TO STAY

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Feb. 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating rose to 45% while his immigration approval remained at 35%, his lowest on any issue. Immigration and inflation are the top two issues for voters for the second month in a row. The poll also covers public opinion on the 2024 horse race and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

“The current issue set of immigration and inflation favors the Republicans, but there is still time for the Biden administration to take action and win them back,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Right now the headline for the election is, ‘It’s the border, stupid.'”

IMMIGRATION CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE FRONT AND CENTER

  • Voters say Biden’s biggest failure was creating an open borders policy and a historic flood of immigrants. (Voters say Biden’s biggest accomplishment was lowering the cost of prescription drugs.)
  • 62% of voters support impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, including 48% of Democrats.
  • 55% of voters supported Trump’s calls to stop the Senate’s compromise immigration bill, which would have allowed 5,000 migrants to enter per day until new measures kicked in.

INFLATION LOOKS STICKY TO VOTERS

  • 71% of voters think price increases and inflation have proven to be sticky and are here to stay – including 58% of Democrats and 87% of Republicans.
  • 45% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse – down from 64% in summer 2022.
  • 42% say inflation is the most important issue to them personally, up 4 points from January.

VOTERS ARE CONCERNED BY SPECIAL COUNSEL REPORT ON BIDEN’S AGE AND MEMORY ISSUES

  • 59% of voters say age and memory lapses are inadequate justification for Special Counsel Robert Hur not pursuing criminal charges in the classified documents case.
  • 76% of voters, including 64% of Democrats, want the transcript of Hur’s interview with Biden to be released publicly.
  • 71% of voters, including 50% of Democrats, would consider it an impeachable offense if it were true that Biden worked with his son and brother to help bring in multimillion-dollar fees from China, Russia and Ukraine while he was vice president.

TRUMP KEEPS LEAD DESPITE LEGAL CHALLENGES

  • Trump beats Biden by 6 points in the head-to-head matchup.
  • 57% of voters say they approve of the job Trump did as president.
  • 54% think the New York judge’s recent ruling that Trump defrauded state banks was fair.

ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG

  • 82% of voters support Israel over Hamas (with 72% support among 18-24-year-olds, their highest percentage to date).
  • 63% of voters support Israel continuing its ground invasion into Southern Gaza to root out the final elements of Hamas.

The February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on February 21-22, 2024, among 2,022 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Media Contact
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.