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MAY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 5 POINTS AS 44% OF INDEPENDENTS ARE STILL WEIGHING THE CHOICES

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

May 20, 2024, 08:03 ET

BIDEN’S JOB APPROVAL ON ISRAEL DROPS TO A LOW OF 36%

 

52% OF HISPANIC VOTERS SAY THEIR PERSONAL FINANCIAL SITUATION IS WORSENING

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., May 20, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the May Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating is steady at 44%, while inflation returned to being voters’ most important issue with immigration a close second. The poll also covers public opinion on the Israel-Hamas war and the upcoming presidential debates. Download key results here.

“Americans always want to hear from the candidates directly and make up their own minds,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “The race is still open, which reinforces why the candidates should be going after the undecided independents, rather than their own bases.”

MOST VOTERS WANT PRESIDENTIAL DEBATES

  • 69% of voters say they have made up their minds on who they will vote for; 44% of Independents, 30% of Democrats and 22% of Republicans are still weighing the choices.
  • 79% of voters want Biden and Trump to debate each other.
  • 71% think the debates should include third-party or independent candidates that clear a viable threshold, such as RFK, Jr.
  • 54% think debate microphones should automatically cut off when a speaker’s time elapses (Democrats and Independents: 60% each; Republicans: 44%).

WITH INFLATION AS TOP ISSUE, ECONOMIC OUTLOOK DIVERGES BY RACE

  • Inflation is far and away the most important issue to voters personally, 25 points higher than immigration, the second choice.
  • 52% of Hispanic voters and 42% of Asian voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse, while 49% of Black voters (a plurality) say their personal financial situation is improving.
  • Biden’s approval is 53% among Hispanic voters, 66% among Black voters and 37% among Asian voters.

BIDEN’S ISRAEL POLICY IS UNPOPULAR

  • Biden’s job approval on the Israel-Hamas war dropped to 36%, his lowest.
  • 57% believe Biden should continue to provide Israel with weapons even if it enters Rafah (Democrats: 48%; Republicans: 64%; Independents: 58%).
  • 53% think Biden’s Israel policy is being directed by perceived domestic politics, not just what’s best for U.S. national interest in a safe and secure Israel (Democrats: 38%; Republicans: 65%; Independents: 56%).

MOST AMERICANS SUPPORT APPROPRIATE PUNISHMENTS FOR CAMPUS PROTESTERS

  • 79% of voters believe student protesters should be removed from college campuses through detainment or arrest if they become violent or damage university property (ages 18-24: 64%; ages 65+: 92%).
  • 78% believe public university officials who choose to discipline these student protesters are taking necessary action to stop public safety threats, not violating their right to free speech and public assembly (ages 18-24: 66%; ages 65+: 90%).

NO FRONTRUNNERS FOR TRUMP VP

  • Voters’ top picks for Trump’s VP among politicians who have endorsed him are Ron DeSantis (12%), Tim Scott (9%) and Vivek Ramaswamy (8%).
  • Ramaswamy, Scott, and Marco Rubio were the top choices who Republican voters said would make them more likely to vote for Trump.

The May Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on May 15-16, 2024, among 1,660 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

CONTACT: 
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

APRIL HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP LEADS BIDEN BY 4 POINTS AS IMMIGRATION AND INFLATION REMAIN TOP CONCERNS

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

Apr 29, 2024, 12:28 ET

58% OF VOTERS BELIEVE THE U.S. LACKS LEADERSHIP TO HANDLE WORLD AFFAIRS BUT MOST WANT FOCUS ON DOMESTIC ISSUES

 

ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS UNCHANGED WHILE UNIVERSITIES UNDER CLOUD

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., April 29, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the April Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating is steady at 44%, while Donald Trump leads the horse race by 4 points. The poll also covers public opinion on foreign policy and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

“American voters are fundamentally utilitarian,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Despite legal and age issues, voters care most about how well Biden and Trump performed as president and on that measure, right now they favor Trump.”

ELECTION FUNDAMENTALS SEE LITTLE CHANGE BUT TRUMP LEAD WIDENS

  • Immigration and inflation continue to be voters’ top concerns, tied at 35% each this month.
  • 55% of voters believe Trump has committed crimes for which he should be convicted, but 55% say separately that they approve of the job he did as president.
  • 44% job approval for Biden shows 11-point deficit in job approval compared to Trump at 55%.

AMERICANS PREFER FOCUS ON DOMESTIC RATHER THAN FOREIGN AFFAIRS

  • 59% of voters say this is a time in world affairs that enables the U.S. to focus primarily on domestic issues, rather than spend more on military and foreign affairs (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 57%; Independents: 63%).
  • 58% say the U.S. does not have the leadership necessary to handle world affairs now.
  • 56% support sending $26 billion in aid to Israel; 49% support sending $8 billion in aid to the Indo-Pacific, including Taiwan; and 48% support sending $61 billion in aid to Ukraine.

GENERATIONAL SCHISM ON ISRAEL REMAINS SALIENT DESPITE GENERAL SUPPORT UNCHANGED

  • 80% of voters say they support Israel over Hamas (ages 18-24 57% to 43%)
  • 71% say the crisis in Gaza has been created by Hamas, not Israel.
  • 78% say Hamas should be removed from running Gaza.
  • 72% of voters believe Israel should move forward with an operation in Rafah in order to finish the war against Hamas, while doing its best to avoid civilian casualties (ages 18-24: 57%; ages 65+: 84%).
  • 68% oppose a ceasefire unless it means Hamas would be allowed to continue holding hostages and running Gaza (ages 18-24: 66% still support). 70% support a “permanent ceasefire” but that support is contingent on hostage release and end of Hamas rule.
  • In the context of the recent Iran attacks against Israel, 80% believe Iran must be stopped from having nuclear weapons (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 96%).

M0ST AMERICANS DISAPPROVE OF UNIVERSITIES AMID CAMPUS PROTESTS

  • 80% of voters believe students and professors who call for violence towards Jews should be suspended (ages 18-24: 59%; ages 65+: 92%).
  • 64% believe the leaders of private higher education institutions are not doing enough to prevent antisemitism (ages 18-24: 37%; ages 65+: 80%).
  • 64% believe there is a problem with what institutions of higher learning are teaching students today (ages 18-24: 47%; ages 65+: 74%).

The April Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on April 24-25, 2024, among 1,961 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies 
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Media Contact:
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

MARCH HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP'S LEAD NARROWS TO 2 POINTS AFTER BIDEN GIVES STATE OF THE UNION

News Provided By

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

Mar 25, 2024, 08:37 ET

IMMIGRATION REMAINS VOTERS’ TOP CONCERN FOR THIRD CONSECUTIVE MONTH

 

TIKTOK BAN IS A BATTLE OF GENERATIONS, NOT PARTY

 

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., March 25, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating remained at 45%, while 55% of voters say they approve of Donald Trump’s job as president. Immigration and inflation remained voters’ top two concerns for the third month in a row. The poll also covers public opinion on the potential TikTok ban and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.

“When people ask themselves the Reagan question, are you better off than you were four years ago, the answer increasingly is no,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “The sizable number of independent voters who are still undecided will determine this election, and they continue to be personally concerned about the border crisis and their grocery store prices.”

VOTERS SPLIT ON BIDEN’S STATE OF THE UNION BUT RACE NARROWS SLIGHTLY

  • 52% of voters have an unfavorable opinion of Biden’s State of the Union address.
  • 54% of voters, including 70% of non-watchers, think Biden did not address the issues that they and their families are concerned about in the speech.
  • 53% believe Biden delivered the speech effectively.
  • Trump is leading Biden by 2 points in the general head-to-head, down from 6 points last month. 20% of Independents say they are unsure.

VOTERS ARE FINE WITH “ILLEGAL” AND “UNDOCUMENTED” TERMS AS IMMIGRATION REMAINS TOP CONCERN

  • 73% of voters believe it is appropriate to refer to those who enter the U.S. without permission as “illegal immigrants”; 68% believe it is appropriate to refer to them as “undocumented immigrants.”
  • 63% of voters have heard of the story of murdered Georgia nursing student Laken Riley and 70% believe the case shows that the U.S. needs stricter immigration policies.

TIKTOK BAN IS DIVIDED BY GENERATION, NOT PARTY

  • 64% of voters believe the risks posed by TikTok to Americans’ personal security and the country’s national security outweigh the benefits of using TikTok for American brands and content creators (ages 18-24: 49%; ages 65+: 85%).
  • 65% of voters support the bill that would ban TikTok in the U.S. if ByteDance does not sell it to a U.S. government-approved buyer (ages 18-24: 43%; ages 65+: 84%).
  • Voters are most concerned about potential election interference from Russia (74%), China (73%), Iran (60%), Hamas (56%) and tech companies (51%).

ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG WITH SCHUMER CRITICIZED FOR CALL TO REMOVE NETANYAHU

  • Israel continues to receive high support, 79%, against Hamas.
  • 52% of voters say it was inappropriate for Senator Chuck Schumer to call for new elections in Israel to remove Benjamin Netanyahu; but 54% believe this criticism of Israel was fair.
  • Netanyahu has a higher net favorable rating in the U.S. (+2 points) than Schumer (-10 points).

The March Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on March 20-21, 2024, among 2,111 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Media Contact
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

February 2024