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February 2025

February 2025

February 2025

FEBRUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: 58% OF VOTERS ARE MORE SATISFIED WITH TRUMP'S JOB AS PRESIDENT THAN BIDEN

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

February 24, 2024, 8:00 AM ET

DEMOCRATIC PARTY APPROVAL HITS A RECORD LOW AT 36%, NOW 15 POINTS LOWER THAN THE GOP

72% OF VOTERS SUPPORT THE EXISTENCE OF A U.S. GOVERNMENT AGENCY FOCUSED ON EFFICIENCY INITIATIVES

VOTERS WANT UKRAINE TO NEGOTIATE A SETTLEMENT WITH RUSSIA, BUT MOST ARE OPPOSED TO TERRITORIAL CONCESSIONS AND WANT THE U.S. TO GIVE SECURITY GUARANTEES

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass.Feb. 24, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

In his first month in office, President Donald Trump’s approval rating is at 52%, with voters most satisfied with his job on immigration, reducing the cost of the government, and returning America to its values. The majority of voters support Trump’s policies on the border, focus on government expenditures, gender, DEI, and offshore drilling but have concerns on his foreign policies involving tariffs, the Israel-Hamas war, and the war in Ukraine. Download key results here.

“People are taking a generally positive wait-and-see attitude for Trump but have really reassessed their attitudes toward Biden, Harris, and the Democrats, taking a much harsher, more negative attitude,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Trump has a real opportunity here – we’re seeing a healthy, trudging approval edging toward real approval based on how the next couple of months turn out.”

VOTERS FEELING MORE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT DIRECTION OF COUNTRY AND ECONOMY

  • 42% of voters say the country is on the right track, up 14 points from January 2025 (Democrats: 21% (-9); Republicans: 71% (+37); Independents: 31% (+12)).
  • 31% of voters say their personal financial situation is improving (+5), particularly among Republican, male, Black, and urban voters.
  • Inflation and immigration remain the top two issues for voters, with a 6-point increase in concern over corruption.

TRUMP AND THE REPUBLICANS START SECOND TERM WITH NET FAVORABLE RATINGS

  • Donald Trump’s favorability stands at 50%, with a net favorable of +7 points.
  • More voters have a favorable rather than unfavorable view of key cabinet members such Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (+9), J.D. Vance (+4), and Tulsi Gabbard (+3).
  • Voters are split on Elon Musk and Mike Johnson.
  • The Democratic Party received its lowest approval rating since at least March 2018, with 33% of Democrats, 86% Republicans, and 70% Independents disapproving. 49% of voters approve of the Republican Party (+1). 36% of voters approve of Congress (+5).

TRUMP POLICIES RECEIVE MAJORITY SUPPORT BUT FACE CONCERN OVER INFLATION AND DIVISIVENESS

  • All of Trump’s key policies received majority support except for renaming the Gulf of Mexico to the Gulf of America, with deportation of illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (81%), eliminating fraud and waste in government expenditures (76%), and closing the border (76%) as the top three most supported policies.
  • 55% of voters support birthright citizenship for the children of illegal immigrants, with 63% believing it is a requirement in the U.S. constitution, breaking with Trump on the issue.
  • 70% of voters believe the government should make hiring decisions based on merit and objective evaluation rather than to achieve diversity. 51% of voters say Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion departments are needed in government.
  • 40% of voters say Trump’s policies will make them financially better off, while 36% believe Trump’s policies will make them worse off. 46% of voters say Trump’s policies will increase inflation.
  • 54% of voters are worried that Trump’s actions will divide the country (Democrats: 82%; Republicans: 20%; Independents: 61%).

VOTERS OVERWHELMINGLY SUPPORT CUTTING DOWN GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES BUT ARE SENSITIVE AROUND DATA PRIVACY

  • 67% of voters say the current level of U.S. federal government debt is unsustainable.
  • 83% of voters favor reducing government expenditures over increasing taxes, and 77% say a full examination of all government expenditures is necessary.
  • 70% of voters say government expenditures are filled with waste, fraud, and inefficiency (Democrats: 58%; Republicans: 78%; Independents: 75%), and 69% support the goal of cutting $1 trillion of government expenditures.
  • 60% of voters think DOGE is helping make major cuts in government expenditures.
  • 58% of voters say DOGE employees should not have access to sensitive information on Americans who benefit from government expenditure programs; including names, social security numbers, addresses, and incomes (Democrats: 75%; Republicans: 39%; Independents: 63%).

TARIFFS SEE MAJORITY SUPPORT BUT VOTERS SPLIT OVER CONCERN ON WHETHER THEY WILL HARM OR HELP

  • 57% of voters say tariffs are an effective foreign and economic policy tool. The plurality of voters (44%) believe tariffs on imported goods will increase U.S. government revenue.
  • 62% of voters believe tariffs will raise prices of everyday goods (Democrats: 75%; Republicans: 50%; Independents: 62%).
  • 54% of voters say tariffs will help the Trump administration get concessions from other countries, but 49% of voters say the recent tariffs on Mexican, Canadian, and Chinese imports will harm rather than help, and 46% of voters say his tariffs on steel and aluminum imports will do harm.
  • 61% of voters support reciprocal tariffs, with voters split on whether they will harm or help. 53% of voters believe reciprocal tariffs will cause other countries to lower their tariffs on U.S. goods.

THE MAJORITY OF VOTERS SUPPORT ENDING THE WAR IN UKRAINE, BUT OPPOSE LEAVING OUT UKRAINE AND EUROPEAN LEADERS FROM NEGOTIATIONS

  • 72% of voters say they want Ukraine to negotiate a settlement with Russia instead of winning the war. 60% of voters favor Trump announcing direct U.S.-Russia negotiations (Democrats: 40%; Republicans: 85%; Independents: 53%).
  • 59% of voters oppose the Trump administration leaving Ukraine’s leaders out of negotiations with Russia. 55% of voters oppose the exclusion of European leaders.
  • 57% of voters oppose the Trump administration forcing Ukraine to make territorial concessions to end the war, and 66% of voters say Ukraine should receive security guarantees from the U.S. if it were to make concessions.
  • 61% of voters say security guarantees should be contingent on Ukraine sharing revenue from rare earth elements to pay back U.S. military support.
  • 63% of voters believe Russia will continue to advance onto other countries if it successfully claims Ukrainian territory.

VOTERS SPLIT ON WHETHER TRUMP WAS SERIOUS ABOUT THE U.S. TAKING OVER GAZA, BELIEVE IT IS A BAD IDEA

  • 54% of voters support Trump’s handling of the Israel-Hamas conflict thus far.
  • 67% of voters have heard of Trump’s proposal that the U.S. should take over Gaza to redevelop it. 47% of voters believe Trump was being serious, and 53% believe he was posturing to start negotiations.
  • 70% of voters believe the U.S. taking over Gaza is a bad idea. 56% of voters oppose removing Palestinians from Gaza to rebuild the territory.
  • Support for Israel over Hamas in the conflict remains high, with 77% of voters supporting Israel.
  • 76% of voters say Iran’s nuclear weapons facilities should be destroyed. 57% of voters say the U.S. should support Israel in airstrikes on such facilities (Democrats: 45%; Republicans: 74%; Independents: 51%).

The February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on February 19-20, 2025, among 2,443 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics.  Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Contact:
Carrie Hsu
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

February 2025

JANUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: TRUMP TO ENTER OFFICE WITH APPROVAL RATING 14 POINTS HIGHER THAN BIDEN, WITH VOTERS PRIORITIZING INFLATION AND IMMIGRATION

News Provided By:

Stagwell Inc.

Published Date

January 18, 2024, 9:19 AM ET

BIDEN AND DEMOCRATIC PARTY APPROVAL RATINGS DROP TO LOWEST SINCE SUMMER OF 2022

66% OF VOTERS SAY THEY HOPE THE TRUMP ADMINISTRATION WILL END INFLATION

61% OF VOTERS APPROVE OF THE TIKTOK BAN

NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass.Jan. 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.

President Joe Biden will leave office with his lowest approval rating since July 2022 at 39%, while President-Elect Donald Trump will enter with an approval rating of 53%. Voters continue to prioritize inflation and immigration as top issues and policy priorities for the new administration. The poll also covers public opinion on policy issues, media behavior, and foreign affairs. Download key results here.

“Trump is off to a reasonable start – past the 50 percent mark in approval rating – and has some real broad-based support,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “People have high hopes that he will fix the economy, address immigration, and restore American values.”

BIDEN ADMINISTRATION APPROVAL RATINGS HIT LOW; INFLATION AND IMMIGRATION REMAIN TOP PRIORITIES

  • Biden’s job approval rating sits at 39% – his lowest since July 2022 (Democrat: 73%; Republican: 15%; Independent: 31%). Meanwhile, Trump’s approval rating is at 53% (Democrat: 20%; Republican: 88%; Independent: 49%). More than a majority of male, white, suburban, rural, and 25-64 y.o. voters approve.
  • 41% of voters approve of the Democratic Party (-1 from November 2024) – the lowest approval rating since June 2024 and the summer of 2022. 52% of voters approve of the Republican Party (+3).
  • Inflation and immigration remain the top two issues for voters, with a slight increase in concern over terrorism and national security (+4).
  • 44% of voters approve of Biden’s handling of the presidential transition to Trump, while 51% approve of Trump’s handling of the transition.

PERCEPTIONS OF TRUMP POLICIES AND THE NEW ADMINISTRATION SHOW PROMISE

  • 56% of voters believe Trump has been trying to unify rather than divide the country after the election (Democrat: 23%; Republican: 88%; Independent: 55%).
  • Of Trump’s cabinet picks, more voters favor rather than oppose the appointments of Marco Rubio (+10), Mike Huckabee (+10), and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. (+9). Voters are split on Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy, and a plurality of voters don’t know over half of Trump’s picks.
  • Of Trump’s policies, deportations of illegal immigrants who have committed crimes (71%) and ending the Israel-Hamas conflict are the most popular (66%). Withdrawing from NATO (24%) and renaming the Gulf of Mexico (28%) are the least popular.
  • Voters say their greatest hopes for the new Trump administration are that he will end inflation (66%), improve national security (46%), and revitalize the American economy (41%) and American values (39%).
  • Voters say top fears are Trump behaving like a dictator (44%), political gridlock (38%), damage to American international reputation and relationships (36%), and damage to federal government and agencies (36%).

VOTERS SUPPORT RECENT SOCIAL MEDIA MOVES INCLUDING TIKTOK BAN AND FACEBOOK COMMUNITY NOTES; CONTINUE TO USE PLATFORMS FOR NEWS

  • 61% of voters approve of the TikTok ban, and 55% of voters say TikTok represents a national security threat to the U.S.
  • 37% of voters are regular users of TikTok (Democrat: 44%; Republican: 36%; Independent: 31%). Voters are split on whether the app has a positive or negative effect on users, with Democrats favoring the app.
  • 53% of voters say they support Mark Zuckerberg in his recent actions to eliminate fact-checking on Facebook and move toward community notes to reduce bias (Democrat: 38%; Republican: 70%; Independent: 51%).
  • Facebook, Google, and YouTube are the most popular social media platforms among voters for news (Facebook: 48%; Google: 44%; YouTube: 43%).
  • 44% of voters believe X represents opinions on both sides of politics equally, the highest percentage among all major social media platforms. 21% of voters believe Facebook is biased in favor of the political left.

VOTERS BELIEVE AI SHOULD BE REGULATED BUT SAY IT IS TOO LATE

  • A plurality of voters (46%) believe it is too late to stop or regulate AI, though 61% agree there should be some type of regulation akin to those on critical industries like healthcare, finance, or aviation.
  • Voters cite concerns of AI becoming too dangerous (31%) and being weaponized (28%) as top reasons for regulation.
  • 52% of voters, however, cite large tech corporation control over AI as the top reason to avoid regulating AI.

PERCEPTIONS ON AUTHORITIES’ RESPONSES TO LOS ANGELES FIRES SPLIT ALONG PARTISAN LINES

  • 54% of voters say the L.A. fires were an event authorities could have been prepared for (Democrat: 38%; Republican: 70%; Independent: 54%).
  • Voters were split over whether city, state, and federal governments responded to the fires adequately. The majority of Democrats said the responses were appropriate, while the majority of Republicans said they were inadequate.
  • 57% of voters believe California Governor Gavin Newsom is guilty of mismanaging resources and making the fires worse, and 60% of voters believe the same of Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass.

VOTERS SUPPORT CEASEFIRE DEAL IN ISRAEL-HAMAS CONFLICT, CREDITING TRUMP ADMINISTRATION

  • 82% of voters support the ceasefire deal, especially Democrats (87%) and voters over 55 years of age (88%).
  • 57% of voters credit the incoming Trump administration with the deal over negotiation efforts from Biden, including a majority of Republicans (84%) and Independents (60%).
  • Support for Israel over Hamas in the conflict remains high with 79% of voters supporting Israel.

The January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on January 15-16, 2025, among 2,650 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.

About The Harris Poll & HarrisX

The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.

HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.

About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics. Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.

Contact:
Carrie Hsu
pr@stagwellglobal.com

SOURCE Stagwell Inc.

November 2024

November 2024