February 2024
February 2024
February 2024
FEBRUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: IMMIGRATION REMAINS TOP ISSUE AS VOTERS SAY BIDEN'S BIGGEST FAILURE IS HIS OPEN BORDERS POLICY
News Provided By:
Stagwell Inc.
Published Date
Feb 26, 2024, 07:48 ET
71% OF VOTERS THINK INFLATION HAS PROVEN IT’S HERE TO STAY
NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Feb. 26, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Joe Biden’s overall approval rating rose to 45% while his immigration approval remained at 35%, his lowest on any issue. Immigration and inflation are the top two issues for voters for the second month in a row. The poll also covers public opinion on the 2024 horse race and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.
“The current issue set of immigration and inflation favors the Republicans, but there is still time for the Biden administration to take action and win them back,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “Right now the headline for the election is, ‘It’s the border, stupid.'”
IMMIGRATION CONCERNS CONTINUE TO BE FRONT AND CENTER
- Voters say Biden’s biggest failure was creating an open borders policy and a historic flood of immigrants. (Voters say Biden’s biggest accomplishment was lowering the cost of prescription drugs.)
- 62% of voters support impeaching Homeland Security Secretary Alejandro Mayorkas, including 48% of Democrats.
- 55% of voters supported Trump’s calls to stop the Senate’s compromise immigration bill, which would have allowed 5,000 migrants to enter per day until new measures kicked in.
INFLATION LOOKS STICKY TO VOTERS
- 71% of voters think price increases and inflation have proven to be sticky and are here to stay – including 58% of Democrats and 87% of Republicans.
- 45% of voters say their personal financial situation is getting worse – down from 64% in summer 2022.
- 42% say inflation is the most important issue to them personally, up 4 points from January.
VOTERS ARE CONCERNED BY SPECIAL COUNSEL REPORT ON BIDEN’S AGE AND MEMORY ISSUES
- 59% of voters say age and memory lapses are inadequate justification for Special Counsel Robert Hur not pursuing criminal charges in the classified documents case.
- 76% of voters, including 64% of Democrats, want the transcript of Hur’s interview with Biden to be released publicly.
- 71% of voters, including 50% of Democrats, would consider it an impeachable offense if it were true that Biden worked with his son and brother to help bring in multimillion-dollar fees from China, Russia and Ukraine while he was vice president.
TRUMP KEEPS LEAD DESPITE LEGAL CHALLENGES
- Trump beats Biden by 6 points in the head-to-head matchup.
- 57% of voters say they approve of the job Trump did as president.
- 54% think the New York judge’s recent ruling that Trump defrauded state banks was fair.
ISRAEL SUPPORT REMAINS STRONG
- 82% of voters support Israel over Hamas (with 72% support among 18-24-year-olds, their highest percentage to date).
- 63% of voters support Israel continuing its ground invasion into Southern Gaza to root out the final elements of Hamas.
The February Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on February 21-22, 2024, among 2,022 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics. Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.
Media Contact
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com
SOURCE Stagwell Inc.
January 2024
January 2024
January 2024
January 2024
JANUARY HARVARD CAPS / HARRIS POLL: IMMIGRATION IS NOW VOTERS' TOP CONCERN
News Provided By:
Stagwell Inc.
Published Date
Jan 22, 2024, 10:30 ET
TRUMP WIDENS LEAD BUT A JANUARY 6 CONVICTION COULD SWING ELECTION
NEW YORK and CAMBRIDGE, Mass., Jan. 22, 2024 /PRNewswire/ — Stagwell (NASDAQ: STGW) today released the results of the January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll, a monthly collaboration between the Center for American Political Studies at Harvard (CAPS) and the Harris Poll and HarrisX.
President Joe Biden’s approval rating is 42% with economic sentiment staying even. His immigration rating sank to 35% as an overwhelming majority of voters now want a bipartisan deal on immigration. The poll also covers public opinion on the 2024 horse race and the Israel-Hamas war. Download key results here.
“For all the talk of international crises, Americans are focused on America and themselves first,” said Mark Penn, Co-Director of the Harvard CAPS / Harris poll and Stagwell Chairman and CEO. “They are very concerned about immigration, inflation and crime and that’s why many of them are saying they want a new president.”
IMMIGRATION CONCERNS ARE NOW FRONT AND CENTER
- Immigration is now the top concern for voters, up 7 points since last month to 35% (with inflation at second, 32%).
- 77% of voters believe the Biden administration should make a deal with the Republicans to increase border security – including 65% of Democrats.
- 68% believe the Biden administration should make it tougher to get into the U.S. illegally – including 50% of Democrats.
JANUARY 6 MIGHT BE THE ONLY TRUMP CONVICTION THAT COULD SWING ELECTION TO BIDEN
- Trump currently leads the head-to-head against Biden by 7 points.
- If Trump is convicted for mishandling of classified documents, he wins against Biden by 6 points.
- If Trump is convicted on RICO charges for influencing the Georgia 2020 election results, he wins against Biden by 2 points.
- But if Trump is convicted for inciting Capitol riots on January 6, Biden wins by 4 points.
TRUMP’S GOP LEAD GROWS DESPITE BALLOT ACCESS CONTROVERSIES
- Trump leads the GOP primary with 71% support, up 4 points since last month.
- 61% of voters believe Ron DeSantis does not have a viable path to the GOP nomination; 58% believe Nikki Haley does not have a viable path.
- 55% think the Supreme Court should put Trump back on the Colorado ballot, and 64% predict the Supreme Court will do so.
VIEWS ON THE ECONOMY SHOW LITTLE MOVEMENT
- 44% of voters believe their personal economics right now are good or excellent, while 42% say the U.S. economy is strong.
ISRAEL SUPPORT IS STEADY WHILE MAJORITY SUPPORT RETALIATION AGAINST HOUTHIS
- 80% of voters support Israel over Hamas, steady over the past few months (ages 18-24: 57%; ages 65+: 93%).
- 67% believe a ceasefire should happen only after the hostages are released and Hamas removed from power (ages 18-24: 37%; ages 65+: 90%).
- 77% believe the Houthis in Yemen are a terrorist group (ages 18-24: 53%; ages 65+: 91%).
- 74% support the retaliatory attacks by the U.S. and multinational coalition forces against the Houthis (ages 18-24: 61%; ages 65+: 90%).
The January Harvard CAPS / Harris poll survey was conducted online within the United States on January 17-18, 2024, among 2,346 registered voters by The Harris Poll and HarrisX. Follow the Harvard CAPS Harris Poll podcast at https://www.markpennpolls.com/ or on iHeart Radio, Apple Podcasts, Spotify, and other podcast platforms.
About The Harris Poll & HarrisX
The Harris Poll is a global consulting and market research firm that strives to reveal the authentic values of modern society to inspire leaders to create a better tomorrow. It works with clients in three primary areas: building twenty-first-century corporate reputation, crafting brand strategy and performance tracking, and earning organic media through public relations research. One of the longest-running surveys in the U.S., The Harris Poll has tracked public opinion, motivations, and social sentiment since 1963, and is now part of Stagwell, the challenger holding company built to transform marketing.
HarrisX is a technology-driven market research and data analytics company that conducts multi-method research in the U.S. and over 40 countries around the world on behalf of Fortune 100 companies, public policy institutions, global leaders, NGOs and philanthropic organizations. HarrisX was the most accurate pollster of the 2020 U.S. presidential election.
About the Harvard Center for American Political Studies
The Center for American Political Studies (CAPS) is committed to and fosters the interdisciplinary study of U.S. politics. Governed by a group of political scientists, sociologists, historians, and economists within the Faculty of Arts and Sciences at Harvard University, CAPS drives discussion, research, public outreach, and pedagogy about all aspects of U.S. politics. CAPS encourages cutting-edge research using a variety of methodologies, including historical analysis, social surveys, and formal mathematical modeling, and it often cooperates with other Harvard centers to support research training and encourage cross-national research about the United States in comparative and global contexts. More information at https://caps.gov.harvard.edu/.
CONTACT:
Sarah Arvizo
pr@stagwellglobal.com
SOURCE Stagwell Inc.